Growth of Integral Transforms and Extinction in Critical Galton–watson Processes
نویسنده
چکیده
The mean time to extinction of a critical Galton–Watson process with initial population size k is shown to be asymptotically equivalent to two integral transforms: one involving the kth iterate of the probability generating function and one involving the generating function itself. Relating the growth of these transforms to the regular variation of their arguments, immediately connects statements involving the regular variation of the probability generating function, its iterates at 0, the quasistationarymeasures, their partial sums, and the limiting distribution of the time to extinction. In the critical case of finite variance we also give the growth of themean time to extinction, conditioned on extinction occurring by time n.
منابع مشابه
Branching Processes
Galton-Watson processes were introduced by Francis Galton in 1889 as a simple mathematical model for the propagation of family names. They were reinvented by Leo Szilard in the late 1930s as models for the proliferation of free neutrons in a nuclear fission reaction. Generalizations of the extinction probability formulas that we shall derive below played a role in the calculation of the critica...
متن کاملCoagulation and Universal Scaling Limits for Critical Galton-watson Processes
The basis of this paper is the elementary observation that the n-step descendant distribution of any Galton-Watson process satisfies a discrete Smoluchowski coagulation equation with multiple coalescence. Using this we obtain necessary and sufficient criteria for the convergence of scaling limits of Galton-Watson processes that are simpler than the classical criteria obtained by Grimvall in 197...
متن کاملBranching Processes
The study of branching processes began in the 1840s with Irénée-Jules Bienaymé, a probabilist and statistician, and was advanced in the 1870s with the work of Reverend Henry William Watson, a clergyman and mathematician, and Francis Galton, a biometrician. In 1873, Galton sent a problem to the Educational Times regarding the survival of family names. When he did not receive a satisfactory answe...
متن کاملAsexual Versus Promiscuous Bisexual Galton-Watson Processes: The Extinction Probability Ratio
We consider the supercritical bisexual Galton-Watson process (BGWP) with promiscuous mating, that is a branching process which behaves like an ordinary supercritical Galton-Watson process (GWP) as long as at least one male is born in each generation. For a certain example, it was pointed out by Daley et al. [7] that the extinction probability of such a BGWP apparently behaves like a constant ti...
متن کاملOn the scaling limits of Galton Watson processes in varying environment
Renormalized sequences of Galton Watson processes converge to Continuous State Branching Processes (CSBP), characterized by a Lévy triplet of two numbers and a measure. This paper investigates the case of Galton Watson processes in varying environment and provides an explicit su cient condition for nite-dimensional convergence in terms of convergence of a characteristic triplet of measures. We ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2008